Cloudy with rain developing after midnight. Low 53F. Winds SE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch. Higher wind gusts possible.
Mid-week market update: I pointed out on the weekend (see A final update on the Trump Trade: Tail-risk assessment) that the term structure of the VIX had inverted, indicating high levels of market anxiety. The market was hedging for a catastrophic outcome that turned out to be nothing. Today's post-election rally is mainly attributable to a positioning unwind of an over-hedged position. "Bloomberg reported that "Wall Street Quants Set to Buy $50 Billion in Stocks as Volatility Falls". What's next?