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AGCO (AGCO) Q4 Earnings: What To Expect

AGCO Cover Image

Agricultural and farm machinery company AGCO (NYSE: AGCO) will be reporting earnings this Thursday morning. Here’s what investors should know.

AGCO missed analysts’ revenue expectations by 0.5% last quarter, reporting revenues of $2.48 billion, down 4.7% year on year. It was a mixed quarter for the company, with full-year EPS guidance exceeding analysts’ expectations but a significant miss of analysts’ organic revenue estimates.

Is AGCO a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.

This quarter, analysts are expecting AGCO’s revenue to decline 7.7% year on year to $2.66 billion, improving from the 24% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $1.86 per share.

AGCO Total Revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. AGCO has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates six times over the last two years.

Looking at AGCO’s peers in the heavy machinery segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Lindsay’s revenues decreased 6.3% year on year, missing analysts’ expectations by 7%, and Greenbrier reported a revenue decline of 19.4%, topping estimates by 7.7%. Lindsay traded up 5.6% following the results while Greenbrier was down 10.3%.

Read our full analysis of Lindsay’s results here and Greenbrier’s results here.

There has been positive sentiment among investors in the heavy machinery segment, with share prices up 8.5% on average over the last month. AGCO is up 7.4% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $118.50 (compared to the current share price of $116.57).

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