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LOW Q2 Deep Dive: Strategic Pro Acquisitions and Productivity Drive Guidance Increase

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Home improvement retailer Lowe’s (NYSE: LOW) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 1.6% year on year to $23.96 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $85 billion at the midpoint came in 0.7% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $4.33 per share was 2.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Lowe's (LOW) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $23.96 billion vs analyst estimates of $23.99 billion (1.6% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $4.33 vs analyst estimates of $4.24 (2.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $3.97 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.97 billion (16.5% margin, in line)
  • The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $85 billion at the midpoint from $84 billion, a 1.2% increase
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $12.33 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 0.9%
  • Operating Margin: 14.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 1,753 at quarter end, up from 1,746 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 1.1% year on year (-5.1% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $144.1 billion

StockStory’s Take

Lowe’s second quarter results aligned with Wall Street revenue expectations, with management crediting steady growth in both professional contractor and do-it-yourself segments as well as a recovery in seasonal sales. CEO Marvin Ellison highlighted continued progress from productivity initiatives, noting, “Our perpetual productivity improvement initiatives continue to deliver results.” Enhanced online experiences and partnerships—such as the launch of a creator network—also contributed to increased customer engagement. The quarter benefited from improved weather, which supported a rebound in categories like lawn and garden.

Looking ahead, Lowe’s updated guidance reflects the company’s confidence in its expanded pro offerings following the acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and Artisan Design Group (ADG). Management expects these moves to strengthen Lowe’s position with larger professional customers and diversify revenue streams. CFO Brandon Sink emphasized, “We expect to drive incremental revenue and EBITDA with cross-selling opportunities,” while cautioning that the outlook assumes current market trends persist. The integration of new digital tools and fulfillment capabilities is anticipated to support sustainable growth as deferred home improvement demand eventually materializes.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed performance to improved assortments and productivity initiatives, while recent acquisitions and digital investments expand Lowe’s pro customer capabilities.

  • Pro segment expansion: The acquisition of FBM positions Lowe’s to serve larger professional customers, unlocking access to a $250 billion addressable market and diversifying revenue beyond core DIY and small-to-medium pro segments.
  • Productivity initiatives: The rollout of technology like the AI-powered MyLo Companion app improved associate effectiveness and customer satisfaction, while process enhancements in freight flow and inventory management contributed to operating efficiency.
  • Seasonal categories rebound: Weather improvements in June and July supported higher sales in categories like lawn and garden, live goods, and power tools. Promotions and value-oriented offers, such as buy-one-get-one deals, were cited as drivers for increased store traffic and unit sales.
  • Geographic reach and store growth: New store openings in growth markets like Texas and Arizona, along with FBM’s footprint in California and the Northeast, enable Lowe’s to address underserved markets and improve delivery capabilities for pro customers.
  • Brand and online engagement: The launch of a creator network and continued partnerships, including those with influencer MrBeast and athlete Lionel Messi, are designed to enhance brand engagement, particularly with younger demographics and online shoppers.

Drivers of Future Performance

Lowe’s outlook is shaped by ongoing investments in pro customer capabilities, digital tools, and the integration of recent acquisitions, while external factors like mortgage rates and consumer caution remain headwinds.

  • Total Home strategy ramp: Management expects the combination of FBM and ADG will enable comprehensive solutions for large pro customers, supporting cross-selling and faster fulfillment as home construction and improvement demand recovers.
  • Digital and operational investments: Continued upgrades to digital tools, inventory management, and supply chain technology are aimed at improving efficiency, driving online growth, and supporting both pro and DIY customers amid evolving consumer expectations.
  • Market and macro uncertainties: CFO Brandon Sink noted that guidance assumes a flat home improvement market, with elevated mortgage rates and affordability constraints persisting. Management continues to monitor consumer sentiment, labor availability, and regional housing trends for potential impacts.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our analysts will be watching (1) the pace and effectiveness of FBM and ADG integration, especially the realization of cross-selling and fulfillment synergies; (2) ongoing adoption and impact of digital tools like MyLo Companion and marketplace expansion; and (3) Lowe’s ability to capture share in key pro and geographic markets as macro conditions evolve. Execution against these milestones will be crucial for tracking sustainable growth.

Lowe's currently trades at $256.69, in line with $256.50 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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