Ziv Leitman
Chief Financial Officer
Tel: +972-54-781-4951
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Liat Glazer Shaft
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Projects
Tel: +972-54-781-5051
E-mail: investors@partner.co.il
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Please note that this translation was made for the company’s use only and under no circumstances obligates Standard & Poor’s Maalot. In the case of any discrepancy with the official Hebrew version published on July 26, 2016, the Hebrew version shall apply.
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Rating Affirmation
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July 26, 2016 | 1
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Affirmed Corporate Credit Rating
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ilA+/Stable
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Business Risk
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Financial Risk
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||||
●
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Continuous exposure to changes in the Israeli communication market, including changes in regulation and intense competition.
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●
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Consistently sound financial risk profile.
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●
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Decrease in free cash flow (after investments and dividends)
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●
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Retaining a leading position in the mobile market.
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●
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“Adequate” liquidity, according to our definitions.
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●
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Decreasing operating margin.
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●
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Increasingly diversified activity in various communication segments.
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The stable outlook reflects our assessment that Partner Communications Co. Ltd. (“Partner”) will maintain its financial policy supporting leverage levels and coverage ratios commensurate with the current rating. We estimate that the company will retain liquidity levels commensurate with the current rating while generating sufficient cash flows albeit at more modest levels than in the past. We also estimate that Partner will maintain a balance between its liquidity level and its investment requirements.
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We consider an adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio of 3.0x-4.0x and an adjusted EBITDA/revenue ratio of 20%-30% as commensurate with the current rating.
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Downside Scenario
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We may consider a negative rating action if the company’s business risk profile weakens, e.g. as a result of significant deterioration in its operating measures. Furthermore, a negative rating would be possible should we see deterioration in the company’s performance in operations, an increase in leverage levels, a weakening of the liquidity profile and increased instability in the communications market, which would result in adjusted debt/EBITDA exceeding 4.0x and adjusted EBITDA/revenue dropping below 20%.
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Upside Scenario
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A positive rating action is possible if the company maintains its conservative financial policy while its financial position improves and the market stabilizes. In addition, we may consider a positive rating action should the company continuously present an adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio of up to 3.0x and an adjusted EBITDA/revenue ratio exceeding 30%.
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www.maalot.co.il
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July 26, 2016 | 2
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Principal Assumptions
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Key Metrics*
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||||||
●
●
●
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Continued decrease in revenues, especially in revenues from mobile services, and due to loss of direct revenues from Hot.
Smaller operating margin, but still above 20%, underpinned by some expected decrease in expenses due to the new network sharing agreement with Hot.
Capital expenses in 2016-2017 similar to 2015.
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2015A
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2016E
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2017E
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EBITDA margin
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24%
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20%-24%
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20%-24%
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FFO**/debt
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22%
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22%-25%
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23%-26%
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Debt/EBIDTA
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3.4x
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3.3x-3.6x
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3.3x-3.6x
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*A – Actual, E – Estimate.
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**FFO – funds from operations
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● | Familiarity with the communication market. |
● | Persisting leading market position. |
● | Diversified operations. |
● | Exposure to the Israeli communication market, characterized by tight regulation, intense competition in most segments and continuous instability. |
● | Decrease in operating margin, but still within the range commensurate with the current rating. |
● | Continuous decrease in ARPU (average revenue per user) and high churn rates. |
● | Continuous, gradual decrease in financial debt. |
● | Good coverage and leverage ratios compared to peers. |
● | “Adequate” liquidity underpinned by cash balance and cash flow generation. |
● | Good access to credit sources. |
● | Decrease in free cash flow generation. |
● | Continuous decrease in EBITDA base due to persisting price wars. |
www.maalot.co.il
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July 26, 2016 | 3
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Partner Communications Co. Ltd. -- Financial Summary
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Industry Sector: Wireless Communications
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--Fiscal year ended Dec. 31-- | |||||
(Mil. NIS)
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2015
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2014
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2013
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2012
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2011
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Revenues
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4,111
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4,400
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4,519
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5,572
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6,998
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EBITDA
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994
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1,276
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1,268
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1,740
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2,410
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Funds from operations (FFO)
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744
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998
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989
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1,320
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1,739
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Working capital changes
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161
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24
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470
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335
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(463)
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Cash flow from operations
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1,001
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1,059
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1,590
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1,764
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1,306
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Capital expenditures
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359
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432
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482
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500
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504
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Free operating cash flow
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642
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627
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1,108
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1,264
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802
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Dividends paid
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0
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0
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0
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167
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659
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Discretionary cash flow
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642
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627
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1,108
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1,097
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143
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Debt
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3,391
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3,961
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4,511
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5,316
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6,347
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Debt and equity
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4,411
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5,000
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5,351
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6,020
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6,774
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Adjusted ratios
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||||||
Annual revenue growth (%)
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(6.6)
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(2.6)
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(18.9)
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(20.4)
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4.9
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EBITDA margin (%)
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24.2
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29.0
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28.1
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31.2
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34.4
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EBITDA interest coverage (x)
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4.9
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6.2
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4.9
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6.2
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6.4
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Debt/EBITDA (x)
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3.4
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3.1
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3.6
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3.1
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2.6
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FFO/debt (%)
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21.9
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25.2
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21.9
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24.8
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27.4
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Free operating cash flow/debt (%)
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18.9
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15.8
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24.6
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23.8
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12.6
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Discretionary cash flow/EBITDA
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64.6
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49.1
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87.4
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63.1
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5.9
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Debt/debt and equity (%)
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76.9
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79.2
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84.3
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88.3
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93.7
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www.maalot.co.il
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July 26, 2016 | 4
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Principal Liquidity Sources
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Principal Liquidity Uses
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● Cash balance of about NIS 0.8 billion as of the end of Q1 2016.
● Debt issuance (signed) of about NIS 0.2 billion.
● Operating cash flow of about NIS 0.6-0.7 billion.
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● About NIS 0.6 billion in debt maturities.
● About NIS 0.4 billion in capital expenditures.
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●
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Deducting surplus cash, as we define it, from reported financial debt.
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Discounting long-term leases and adding them to reported debt; increasing EBITDA and FFO to reflect annual rental payments and interest and depreciation components calculated from future rent payments discounted into financial debt.
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●
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Adjusting financial debt for postretirement benefit obligations.
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●
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Adjusting financial debt for litigation.
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Adjusting financial debt for trade receivables securitization – NIS 165 million.
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www.maalot.co.il
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July 26, 2016 | 5
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Reconciliation Of Partner Communications Co. Ltd. Reported Amounts With Standard & Poor’s Adjusted Amounts (Mil. NIS)
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--Fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2015--
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Partner Communications Co. Ltd. reported amounts
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|||||||
Debt
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EBITDA
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Operating income
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Interest expense
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EBITDA
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Cash flow from operations
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Reported
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3,101.0
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860.0
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107.0
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136.0
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860.0
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922.0
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Standard & Poor’s adjustments
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|||||||
Interest expense (reported)
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--
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--
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--
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--
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(136.0)
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--
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Interest income (reported)
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--
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--
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--
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--
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1.0
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--
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Current tax expense (reported)
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--
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--
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--
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--
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(44.0)
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--
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Trade receivables securitizations
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165.0
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--
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--
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11.0
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(11.0)
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36.0
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Operating leases
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718.5
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224.5
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56.3
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56.3
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168.2
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168.2
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Postretirement benefit obligations/deferred compensation
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25.5
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--
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--
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0.2
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(3.1)
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8.9
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Surplus cash
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(694.5)
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--
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--
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--
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--
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--
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Share-based compensation expense
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--
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17.0
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--
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--
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17.0
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--
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Non-operating income (expense)
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--
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--
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2.0
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--
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--
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--
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Reclassification of interest and dividend cash flows
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--
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--
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--
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--
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--
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(134.0)
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Debt - Litigation
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75.0
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--
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--
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--
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--
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--
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EBITDA - Other income/(expense)
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--
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(61.0)
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(61.0)
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--
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(61.0)
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--
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EBITDA - Other
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--
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(47.0)
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(47.0)
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--
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(47.0)
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--
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Total adjustments
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289.5
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133.5
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(49.7)
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67.5
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(115.9)
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79.1
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Standard & Poor’s adjusted amounts
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|||||||
Debt
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EBITDA
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EBIT
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Interest expense
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Funds from
operations
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Cash flow from
operations
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Adjusted
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3,390.5
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993.5
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57.3
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203.5
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744.1
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1,001.1
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●
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National And Regional Scale Credit Ratings, September 22, 2014
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●
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S&P Global Ratings’ National And Regional Scale Mapping Tables, June 1, 2016
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●
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Standard & Poor’s Ratings Definitions, February 1, 2016
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●
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Use Of CreditWatch And Outlooks, September 14, 2009
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●
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Methodology: Timeliness Of Payments: Grace Periods, Guarantees, And Use Of ‘D’ And ‘SD’ Ratings, October 24, 2013
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●
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Corporate Methodology, November 19, 2013
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●
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Methodology And Assumptions: Liquidity Descriptors For Global Corporate Issuers, December 16, 2014
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●
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Corporate Methodology: Ratios And Adjustments, November 19, 2013
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●
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Group Rating Methodology, November 19, 2013
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●
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Methodology: Industry Risk, November 19, 2013
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●
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Country Risk Assessment Methodology And Assumptions, November 19, 2013
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●
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Methodology: Management And Governance Credit Factors For Corporate Entities And Insurers, November 13, 2012
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●
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Key Credit Factors For The Telecommunications And Cable Industry, June 22, 2014
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www.maalot.co.il
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July 26, 2016 | 6
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Rating Details (As of 26-July-2016)
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Partner Communications Co. Ltd.
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Issuer rating(s)
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Local Currency LT
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ilA+/Stable
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Issue rating(s)
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Senior Unsecured Debt
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Series B, C, D, E
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ilA+
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Rating history
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20-June-2013
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ilAA-/Stable
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6-Dec-2012
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ilAA-/Negative
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10-Sep-2012
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ilAA-/Watch Negative
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19-Oct-2010
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ilAA-/Negative
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5-Oct-2009
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ilAA-/Stable
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Issuer Rating history
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Local Currency LT
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28-July-2015
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ilA+/Stable
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20-June-2013
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ilAA-/Stable
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6-Dec-2012
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ilAA-/Negative
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10-Sep-2012
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ilAA-/Watch Neg
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19-Oct-2010
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ilAA-/Negative
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05-Oct-2009
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ilAA-/Stable
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17-Sept-2009
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ilAA-
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14-July-2009
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ilAA-/Watch Dev
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24-March-2009
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ilAA-/Watch Pos
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28-Oct-2008
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ilAA-/Stable
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25-Sept-2007
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ilAA-/Positive
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20-March-2007
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ilAA-/Stable
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28-July-2004
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ilAA-
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16-Feb-2004
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ilA+
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01-Aug-2003
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ilA
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Other Details
|
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Time of the event
|
09:39 26/07/2016
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Time when the analyst first learned of the event
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09:39 26/07/2016
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Rating requested by
|
Issuer
|
www.maalot.co.il
|
July 26, 2016 | 7
|
www.maalot.co.il
|
July 26, 2016 | 8
|
Partner Communications Company Ltd.
|
|||
By:
|
/s/ Ziv Leitman | ||
Name: Ziv Leitman | |||
Title: Chief Financial Officer | |||